Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.020844 0.022571 0.024374 0.026397 0.028604 0.030942 0.033606
2025-08-24 0.017534 0.019956 0.022623 0.025783 0.029432 0.033521 0.038460
2025-08-31 0.015522 0.018327 0.021541 0.025507 0.030285 0.035873 0.042932
2025-09-07 0.014074 0.017116 0.020715 0.025306 0.031032 0.037970 0.047064
2025-09-14 0.012960 0.016163 0.020060 0.025173 0.031743 0.039954 0.051070
2025-09-21 0.011959 0.015248 0.019345 0.024859 0.032135 0.041480 0.054502
2025-09-28 0.011279 0.014675 0.019000 0.024956 0.033012 0.043624 0.058817
2025-10-05 0.010615 0.014067 0.018553 0.024863 0.033591 0.045361 0.062638
2025-10-12 0.010103 0.013620 0.018278 0.024962 0.034406 0.047428 0.067003
2025-10-19 0.009638 0.013204 0.018011 0.025037 0.035168 0.049432 0.071365
2025-10-26 0.009164 0.012744 0.017650 0.024947 0.035668 0.051063 0.075245
2025-11-02 0.008762 0.012359 0.017366 0.024941 0.036271 0.052853 0.079442
2025-11-09 0.008250 0.011805 0.016835 0.024572 0.036362 0.053954 0.082767
2025-11-16 0.007757 0.011256 0.016283 0.024144 0.036341 0.054889 0.085907
2025-11-23 0.007359 0.010824 0.015878 0.023909 0.036590 0.056238 0.089773
2025-11-30 0.007007 0.010442 0.015523 0.023725 0.036896 0.057677 0.093856
2025-12-07 0.006699 0.010108 0.015222 0.023601 0.037281 0.059246 0.098238
2025-12-14 0.006372 0.009729 0.014831 0.023309 0.037367 0.060319 0.101822
2025-12-21 0.006159 0.009515 0.014684 0.023400 0.038081 0.062460 0.107385
2025-12-28 0.005920 0.009249 0.014440 0.023313 0.038484 0.064089 0.112129
2026-01-04 0.005735 0.009060 0.014310 0.023405 0.039191 0.066267 0.117996
2026-01-11 0.005556 0.008873 0.014173 0.023476 0.039859 0.068404 0.123914
2026-01-18 0.005358 0.008643 0.013954 0.023391 0.040244 0.070052 0.129007